Japan’s export growth significantly missed expectations in September, rising only 16.7% year-on-year compared to the anticipated 20.1%. This slowdown follows a strong July and marks the second consecutive month of deceleration. While key sectors like semiconductors and machinery showed strength, and exports to the U.S. climbed, the overall figures highlight concerns about global economic momentum.
Japan's September Exports Disappoint, Growth Slows Sharply Amid Global Economic Headwinds
By A Wall Street News Editor
Japan's export growth experienced a significant downturn in September, registering a 16.7% year-on-year increase and falling considerably short of the 20.1% expected by Reuters-polled analysts. This marks the second consecutive month of deceleration in shipments, a concerning trend following a near four-year high recorded in July. While semiconductor-related exports, including semiconductor machinery, showed robust gains of 49.4% and 43.9% respectively, and machinery exports, such as power generation equipment, also contributed positively, the overall performance failed to meet market expectations.
Technicians at work in the clean room of a semiconductor company in Ibaraki, Japan. (Photo by Koichi Kamoshida/Getty Images)
Shipments to Japan's largest trading partner, mainland China, saw a modest rise of 8.6%, while exports to the United States increased by a more substantial 22.9%. Despite the September miss, exports have been a primary engine for Japan's economic growth throughout the first two quarters of 2026, bolstering the nation's economy and exceeding projections in the first quarter.
Imports also underperformed, growing by 18.9% in September, slightly below the expected 19.6%. Notably, Tokyo's petroleum imports surged by 51.1%, with a dramatic nearly 820% increase in shipments from the U.S., while imports from the Middle East saw only a marginal 1.5% rise amidst ongoing regional conflicts impacting supply chains.
The release of this economic data comes ahead of the Bank of Japan's upcoming policy meeting, where analysts widely anticipate the central bank will maintain its current policy rate of 1%. Following the announcement, Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 index rose by 1.8%, and the broader Topix index gained 1.14%.
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