In a favorable turn for savers, certificates of deposit (CDs) are now offering yields exceeding 4%, a significant draw as the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy remains a subject of speculation. Data from Jefferies indicates a positive trend, with 16 banks recently increasing their maximum CD yields. PNC Financial is notably leading this charge, hiking the Annual Percentage Yield (APY) on its 7-month CD by 50 basis points to a compelling 4%.
This increase in CD rates is attributed to intense deposit competition among banks, as highlighted by Jefferies analyst David Chiaverini. Banks are signaling upward pressure on funding costs through the second half of 2026. While the Federal Reserve's target for the federal funds rate is currently between 3.5% and 3.75%, and influenced by Treasury bill yields, the landscape is evolving. Recent Fed funds futures trading suggests a decrease in the probability of a rate hike at the upcoming September meeting, partly due to inflation data aligning with consensus. Concurrently, 6-month Treasury bill yields have risen to 3.93% from 3.62% since the start of the Iran war.
Several institutions are now offering attractive rates. Bread Financial has boosted its 1-year CD APY by 10 basis points to 4.25%. Popular Direct matches this with a 4.25% APY on its 1-year CD. Sallie Mae and CIBC are close behind, offering 4.15% on their 1-year CDs, while Synchrony Financial provides 4.1% and Capital One offers a solid 4%. These competitive rates stand in contrast to money market funds, where yields have largely remained stagnant, with the Crane 100 Money Fund Index showing a seven-day current yield of 3.49%.
Savers considering these higher CD rates should weigh the trade-off for liquidity. Early withdrawal from a CD typically incurs a penalty, such as forfeiture of interest. It is also advisable to monitor CD maturity dates, as renewal rates may not always be as competitive, making it prudent to shop around. While current yields are attractive, they may not outpace inflation in the long term, underscoring the importance of aligning CD investments with personal financial goals and time horizons.